Finding Value In College Basketball Point Spreads
Sometimes, finding value in college basketball point spreads can feel like looking for a needle in a haystack. Actually, it’s not quite that easy, but probably your chief priority in looking for value in college basketball point spreads might be the same as a weekend garage project … reduce the clutter. With more than 300 teams participating in Division I college basketball – by far more than in any other sport – there can be more than 150 line games on any given Saturday, and a more than a handful on some week nights. Because of his, it’s very easy to suffer from information overload in such a saturated market. Sometimes, it’s like eating at a buffet; we end up putting too much on our plates simply because it’s there.
Well, you can either avoid the buffet to resist temptation, or you can resolve to grab only what you need. This is the approach it takes to become successful in betting on college basketball picks. Reduce the clutter. Yes, it might sound easier said than done, but it is possible, and we will give you a few valuable tips. Once you realize that you are your own worst enemy – with the potential of out-thinking yourself the biggest obstacle to your success – there are methods you can use to get out of your own way and on to the winner’s circle.
Let’s start by keeping it simple. Just because there are 150 or so games from which to choose does not mean you have to bet on every single one of them, or convince yourself there is value in more games than there actually is. Remember the biggest edge you will always have over the sports books is that they must post college basketball point spreads on every game, and yet you get to choose the ones you wish to bet on. Don’t let this factor turn into a disadvantage; those who take your bets are counting on this. Gamblers are, by nature, action junkies. While betting for profit involves gambling, you need to approach this science with a business sense. See your bets as a short-term investment, one that will either see a 100 percent return or a similar loss.
The best way to sift through the information overload when it comes to college basketball points spreads is to become a specialist. That is, familiarize yourself with a specific conference or set of teams, and go from there.
Right away, you’ll be able to eliminate about 90 percent of the games on the board and focus in the area where you have an edge. If you have knowledge about a specific conference or set of teams, it’s best to get all the in-depth publications you can find and visit their team web site to make sure you are up on all their team’s dynamics.
There is also no substitute for local knowledge. If you live near a college that participates in a mid-major conference, this could be a huge area of advantage. By attending a few games per year, you could amass a valuable amount of in-depth information on the strengths and weaknesses of each team, and stay one step ahead of the oddsmakers, or, if you used to play for a specific program or know someone who did, it’s likely you’ll have a grip on the ins and outs of the program and you can use this to your advantage. Regardless of your area of expertise, remember that a focused and minimalist approach is much preferred to that of the shopping-spree method. You don’t need to throw everything in your shopping cart, only the items that provide the best bang for your buck.
It’s the sports-betting version of the KISS philosophy, except we won’t call it Keep It Simple Stupid, because those who practice it are far from stupid. Think of it more along the lines of Keeping It Simple = Success.
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